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The Lefsetz Letter

Satellite Radio

by Bob Lefsetz

The window is closing on satellite radio. Its obit, and it won't go completely out of business, just like there's still a market for vinyl records, will read "Killed By The iPod".

How did they screw up so bad?

Sirius delaying its introduction until it got the kinks out of its proprietary chips. XM using off the shelf parts but being unable to communicate to people why they NEEDED IT!

In case you missed it, more than 70% of 2007 model U.S. cars will feature seamless iPod integration (macdailynews.com). You won't just be able to plug the damn thing in, you'll be able to run it via your radio. I ask you, how many people are going to buy aftermarket satellite radios NOW?

XM was about music discovery. You can't get that on an iPod. You can only listen to what you ALREADY KNOW! But what did XM tell the consumer? That David Bowie was falling from the sky?

Sirius was on its way to bankruptcy before it signed Howard Stern. Now alive, the stunning thing is HOW FEW PEOPLE FOLLOWED HOWARD TO SIRIUS! In one fell swoop, Howard marginalized himself, took himself off the national stage, and no matter how much Mel Karmazin polishes the apple, it turns out MOST PEOPLE DON'T WANT TO PAY FOR RADIO!

Satellite radio is like Rhapsody. Or Napster. You've got to pay EVERY MONTH! And when the year is over, after you've invested over $150, you've got NOTHING! Whereas an investment in an iPod, available for even the same price, will pay dividends FOREVER (well, at least for a few years, until it either breaks or is superseded by a hotter model you MUST have) and will be filled FOR FREE! (Don't think people are filling their iPods at the iTunes Music Store, they just rip THEIR CDs, and THEIR FRIENDS' CDs. Sure, someone had to buy those discs once, but you would have anyway, so the music FEELS FREE! Never mind the music that truly IS free, which you stole P2P.)

Sure, XM and Sirius have relationships with auto manufacturers, but nowhere near as good as Apple's.

And satellite radio doesn't work as well. I have to turn off Sirius all the time because it keeps dropping out. As for XM, the reception is better, but now XM is perceived as the stepchild, the Creative Zen of satellite radio, an outlet for iconoclasts ONLY!

Aftermarket sales, i.e. retail sales, i.e. install in your car yourself sales, represent 50% of satellite purchases. Believe me, you don't want one of these units. With their hanging wires and antenna issues. Whereas if you buy an iPod, you just PLUG IT IN!

It's desperation time for satellite radio. They've got to communicate why people need it, IMMEDIATELY!

Sirius wants us to believe we need celebrities. We've got ENOUGH celebrities. Does anybody really need to pay $12.95 a month to listen to a hip-hop station named for Eminem that they know he has almost nothing to do with? For Sirius, it's Howard Stern and Howard Stern only. Shit, who wants to listen to all those NFL games on the radio ANYWAY? Dedicated fans just buy the DirecTV package.

As for XM... At least they've got baseball. As for Bob Dylan... He doesn't sell a million albums per release and if he's selling out stadiums, they're in his mind.

Satellite radio is a nineties idea that is losing traction in a twenty first century world. It works even worse than Windows XP, and is marketed as well as Gateway. I love it because it exposes me to a wealth of music, certainly on XM, it's a music lover's PARADISE! But the public has given up on music radio. They believe you discover new acts and tunes on the Web. And that car radio is for talk.

How did so many fuck up so badly?

Bob Lefsetz, Santa Monica-based industry legend, is the author of the e-mail newsletter, "The Lefsetz Letter". Famous for being beholden to no one, and speaking the truth, Lefsetz addresses the issues that are at the core of the music business: downloading, copy protection, pricing and the music itself. His intense brilliance captivates readers from Steven Tyler to Rick Nielsen to Bryan Adams to Quincy Jones to EVERYBODY who's in the music business. Never boring, always entertaining, Mr. Lefsetz's insights are fueled by his stint as an entertainment business attorney, majordomo of Sanctuary Music's American division and consultancies to major labels.

While Rhino may occasionally disagree with some of Bob's opinions, we certainly agree with his right to state them. At the bottom of each column we give you, the reader, the opportunity to respond and we encourage you to do so. We will post select comments.


LET US KNOW WHAT YOU THINK.

A word about submissions: We post what you give us, so please don't include your email address or any personal info. Your comments reach Rhino, not necessarily the writer, so don't expect a reply from them (or us, see our help section for contact info). We gather and post your submissions in batches, so do expect a short delay. And don't get bent if we edit your comments. We probably won't, but we reserve that right.


Comments:

I truly hope you are wrong. My wife and I have 3 ipods and 3 XM units between us (and a Sirius unit). I have been hooked on satellite since I got my first XM unit nearly 4 years ago. What I buy for my Ipod (very often used CD's on half.com) is based on what I hear on XM. I have discovered artists that I might never have heard if I had only FM and an Ipod. My wife's new Honda has a jack to connect the IPod - we almost never do. The XM plays constantly in the car and in our house. It would be sad if satellite did not succeed.

you're a fucking jerk-off!! sirius is the best thing that has happened in a long time. who have you been sucking off...clear channel...cbs radio...shut the fuck up... and bababooey to you all!!!!!

I also hope you are wrong. I have Sirius and don't listen to Stern, I love discovering new music. I don't want to fill up an Ipod with music I will just get sick of.

My stupid Sirius satellite radio never works. Neither does the business' next door to us and they have XM/ Why dont they work? Why does it always say "acquiring signal?" I think they suck; they never work and an iPod is way better... who listens and likes half the stuff they play on satellite radio? its good for like a year and then it just sucks...they are more repetitive than the regular radio stations that play any good song to death...I like old school rock and alternative even those get very repetitive. iPods are better end of story...

Randomized music is what people need, you pickle-headed moron. Flash drive junk because of why? With pay radio you get what you pay for which is someone doing the random playing of commercial free radio to your liking in every market x 100+ channels….




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